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Baccarat Advantage Play

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If paying a 5 percent commission on the Banker irks you, it might be best to try your luck on the Player hand, which comes with a marginally worse house advantage of 1.

Betting with the Banker is not only the simplest but also the safest baccarat strategy. And it all boils down to pure math. First of all, the theoretical house edge for betting on the Banker, as mentioned earlier, is 1.

By the same token, the return to player RTP or payout percentage for Banker bets is a staggering The RTP of a bet on the Bank hand of Similarly, a bet on a tie is worse than either because of its relatively low RTP of The reason betting on the Banker is always a good idea goes beyond the house edge and RTP, though.

If we remove all hands that tie from the equation, then the Bank hand loses On the flip side, Betting solely with the Player has an almost equally low house edge of 1.

In addition to eliminating the tie bet and always betting with the Banker, some advanced betting systems can work perfectly into your baccarat strategy.

Made popular in the 18th century in France, the Martingale System is a common system of progressively adjusting bets in casino games that is particularly conducive to baccarat.

It can also work like a charm when it comes to playing other table games like roulette, blackjack, and even craps.

Beyond gambling, the system has been employed in trading FX, securities, and other investment vehicles that call for long-term profit expectancy.

The Martingale System was devised by one French mathematician by the name Paul Pierre Levy, although some people think it was introduced by an unscrupulous casino owner called John Martingale.

How does it work? The Martingale System borrows from the theory of Mean Revision, which says that historical returns and asset prices such as Gold, Oil, Stock, FX, etc.

In layman terms, a particular hand is bound to win at some point. When you get down to brass tacks, the traditional Martingale System says that you should double down on the next wager if your last bet lost.

This theory suggests that you should continue until you win. When you make a win, then you take your winnings and revert to the original bet.

The big idea behind the Martingale system is that the bettor will win the biggest bet of the cycle. As you can see, the system has a near percent success rate in the long-run.

Despite looking like a sure-thing, however, the Martingale System comes with a few risks and shortcomings that include:. Lucky for you, there are a few other systems that have been proven to be just as effective, including Fibonacci, Paroli, Labouchere, and Doubles.

The Fibonacci baccarat strategy is a betting system in which the amount to bet after a loss is dictated by the Fibonacci sequence.

This is a famous natural number sequence in which the next number in a progression is determined by the sum of the previous two numbers.

This cycle continues until you hit a win. Like the previous system, the Fibonacci system assumes the theory of mean revision is true. Well, you might ask yourself, why would I want to carry on increasing my bet on a given hand when I have already lost money?

The idea is that if you keep making a subsequently bigger bet in spite of your losses, you will end up winning back your last two losing bets at some point.

If you lose your first two wagers, then your third bet should be 3x your original wager, i. The Paroli baccarat strategy is the exact opposite of the Martingale system.

In fact, some texts refer to it as the Reverse Martingale system. It has been used dating back to 16th century Italy where it was leveraged on a card game called Basset.

A form of a positive betting system, Paroli simply dictates that you should double your bet every time you win until you lose.

The core objective of this system is to gain 3 wins in a row. The Labouchere system goes by several other names, including the American Progression, the Cancellation System, or the Split Martingale.

First introduced by an avid French roulette player name Henry Labouchere, this system works best for even money betters in casino games like baccarat, blackjack, and even sports betting.

As a negative progression system, it encompasses increasing your wager after every lost bet. The key principle is that you should be able to recoup the losses after a losing streak with a few wins, and not just one win as in the case of Martingale.

If your bet wins, then you eliminate the first and the last number on the sequence. The same four rules should be applied to every bet.

Lose, and you include a number to the end of the sequence. When you win, remove the last and first numbers.

First, you need to choose your base unit, which is usually the value of a single chip or token.

For every bet you lose, you should increase your next wager by 1 chip. Then, again, you increase each of your losing wagers by 1 chip.

For every winning coup, you should take away one chip. This represents a year to a lifetime of play for the typical player. Additional curves showing the t-Win, as well as the 1st, 2nd and 3rd standard deviations are included.

The third simulation is similar to the second given above, except instead of simulation shoes, only 50 shoes are shown.

This gives realistic results for what a player might experience on a single extended baccarat trip. As above, additional curves showing the t-Win, as well as the 1st, 2nd and 3rd standard deviations are included.

This simulation shows two different betting strategies. The t-Win is also shown. The key lesson here is that neither of these systems dents the house edge.

The rules are as follows:. I am available for expert witness services for gaming and casino related legal cases. Thread starter aslan Start date Oct 10, I heard there is, including card counting.

Do we have any experts out there who can fill us in? Kind of top secret. I know of one way, but it's extremely hard to pull off, and the EV is less than counting 8 deck shoes with poor penetration.

Brock Windsor Well-Known Member Oct 10, Not worth it when you can just run a blackjack team with those same resources.

Brock Windsor Well-Known Member Oct 11, Liquid Chips Well-Known Member Oct 11, I herd some people do well by going back and forth between player and banker while martingaling.

Baccarat Advantage Play

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